ESPN FPI sees more trouble ahead for Wisconsin Badgers

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ESPN FPI predicted that weeks of disappointment were ahead for the 2021 Wisconsin Badgers after their Week 2 win over Eastern Michigan.

Predictions at the time included losses to Michigan and Iowa and a final regular season record of 9-3.

Well, the outlook has gotten darker and darker since Wisconsin’s week off. The Badgers dropped out of the Notre Dame game in Chicago with a fourth-quarter meltdown, helped Michigan win their first game at Camp Randall since 2001, and now sit last in the Big Ten West.

ESPN FPI’s projections follow this perspective, as they now see Wisconsin losing to some of their rivals Big Ten West.

What is the REIT’s current projection after Wisconsin’s loss to Michigan? A season without luck for the Badgers for the first time 2001:

October 9 in Illinois

August 28, 2021; Champaign, Illinois, United States; Illinois Fighting Illini wide receiver Miles Scott (85) walks past Nebraska Cornhuskers cornerback Cam Taylor-Britt (5) at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted winner: Wisconsin
Probability of winning badgers: 69.8%

Projected race record: 2-3

October 16 against Army

Mandatory Credit: Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted winner: Wisconsin
Probability of winning badgers: 76.9%

Projected race record: 3-3

October 23 at Purdue

Purdue tight end Payne Durham (87) celebrates a touchdown during the fourth quarter of an NCAA college football game on Saturday, September 4, 2021 at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette. Credit: Nikos Frazier / Journal & Courier-Imagn Content Services, LLC

Predicted winner: Purdue
Probability of winning badgers: 49.5%

Projected race record: 3-4

October 30 vs. Iowa

Iowa quarterback Spencer Petras (7) snuggles with teammates including center Tyler Linderbaum and fullback Monte Pottebaum (38) during an NCAA Big Ten Conference football game against Indiana, on Saturday September 4, 2021, at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa. Credit: Joseph Cress / Iowa City Press-Citizen-Imagn Content Services, LLC

Predicted winner: Iowa
Probability of winning badgers: 31.1%

Projected race record: 3-5

November 6 at Rutgers

December 12, 2020; College Park, Maryland, United States; Rutgers Scarlet Knights quarterback Noah Vedral (0) throws as Maryland Terrapins defensive back Nick Cross (3) defends at Capital One Field at Maryland Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted winner: Rutgers
Probability of winning badgers: 49.3%

Projected race record: 3-6

November 13 vs. Northwest

November 21, 2020; Evanston, Illinois, United States; Northwestern Wildcats head coach Pat Fitzgerald gestures after his team recovered a fumble against the Wisconsin Badgers in the first half at Ryan Field. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted winner: Wisconsin
Probability of winning badgers: 83.2%

Projected race record: 4-6

November 20 in Nebraska

August 28, 2021; Champaign, Illinois, United States; Nebraska quarterback Adrian Martinez (2) walks past Illinois defensive lineman Keith Randolph Jr. (88) in the first quarter at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted winner: Nebraska
Probability of winning badgers: 42.9%

Projected race record: 4-7

November 27 in Minnesota

Sep 2, 2021; Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States; Minnesota Gophers running back Bryce Williams (21) reacts after scoring a fourth quarter touchdown against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Huntington Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Harrison Barden-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted winner: Wisconsin
Probability of winning badgers: 51.3% (previously: 69%)

Projected race record: 5-7

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